A Subsidiary of A.C. Nielsen Company ^ INCORPORATED SEMICONDUCTOR SUPPLY STUDY for DIGITAL EQUIPMENT CORPORATION August 1979 by Howard Z. Eogert 19055
- 2 -High pressure oxidation. Mask and maskmaking equipment. Consider important equipment growth markets. Major Merchant Vendors. Additional questions
m /2 INTERVIEW GUIDE Semiconductor ManuSacttiring Suppliers DATE 7/3/79 ADE - Boston, MA area Company/Location Contact/Position V.P. - Small inst. mal
/2 General Business Current Delivery 2-3 months. Action on backlog problenn if applicable; Will hold steady Semi Related Products/Approx. Annual Sales
m /2 INTERVIEW GjtllDE Semiconductor Manu&cttiring Suppliers DATE 7/2/79 Company/Location GCA ~ Burlington, VT Contact/Position Dir. Mlctg. - Opti
/2 General Business Current Delivery 12-18 nnonths. Action on backlog problena if applicable; Kill tirobably x&C&%m Semi Related Products/Appr
'1/2 INTERVIEW GUIDE Semiconductor Manufw^tuirlng Suppliers DATE 7/2/79 Company/Location Varian - Palo Alto, CA Contact/Position Industrial Equip
• m /2 General Business (least experisive) (most expensive) Current Delivery 3-15 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; probably won't
m /2 INTERVIEW iSUlDa Semiconductor Manufactiiring: Suppliers DATE 7/2/79 Company/Location Tencor Instruments ~ Mt. View, CA Contact/Position Presiden
'2/2 General Business Current Delivery 3 months. Action on backlog probienn if applicable; Build to forecast not order. Will hold at that lead ti
'1/2 INTERVIEW Glildfe Semiconductor ManiiEitltttrui^ Suppliers DATE 7/2/79 Company/Location Bruce Ind. - Boston, MA Contact/Position Mktg. Mgr.
2/2 Genial mj#nHe«t Current Delivery 10 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Have 140 sq. ft. facility for BTU/ Bruce ops, but production
- 3 -PEOPLE AT DEC TO WHOM FINAL PRESENTATION WILL BE MADE Jim Coggmore Dan Hamil Bill Greene Russ Doane Gene Jones Jack Batten Group Manager LSI Manu
•. /2 Company/Location Contact/Position INTERVIEW CinDE Semiconductor Manu^tc^twiI^ Suppliers DATE 7/2/79 Varian/Extrion - Boston area General Manager
2/2 General Business Current Delivery 8 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Investing $4M in new facilities / this year on top of $4M las
# /2 INTERVIEW CAMU Semiconductor ManufadQurliiig Suppliers DATE 6/29/79 Company/Location ETEC - Hayward, CA Contact/Position Ind. Product Mktg. - Tec
• # /2 General Business Current Delivery 12-14 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Will not change, system to exotic/ custom/costly scale
•l /2 INTERVIEW GUttSe Semiconductor Manuf#Cturli^ Suppliers DATE 6/29/79 Company/Location Signatone Inc. Contact/Position Small inst. mfg.; does sale
n/2 General Business Current Delivery ^ months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Will maintain this sort of delivery Senni Related Products/Ap
/2 INTERVIEW OUibE Semiconductor ManufaCtuirin^ Suppliers DATE 6/21/79 Company/Location Tylan Corp. - Torrance, CA Contact/Position V.P./Gen. Mgr. - O
m m w' General Business Current Delivery 5-6 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Up mass flow output to accomodate systems. 16-18 we
# /2 I INTERVIEW GUIDE Semiconductor Manufacturing Suppliers DATE 6/21/79 Company/Location Cutler-Haininer (Semi Equipment Div.) " Sunnyvale, CA
• • » /2 Genercd Business Current Delivery 6 _months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Adding capacity but will hold 5 months baclclog through
# /2 INTERVIEW fiyiDE Semiconductor Manu|a>C^pring Suppliers DATE 6/26/79 Company/Location Tegal ^ Nova to, CA fO I Contact/Position President &quo
/2 Cteneral OiisinesBS Current Delivery 2-3 months. Action on backlog problem il applicable: Building to forecast rather than orders (mostly std. equi
I M # /2 INTERVIEW ^UIDE Semiconductor Manu^tiCiuiring Suppliers DATE 6/26/79 Company/Location GCA - Sunnyvale Division Contact/Position General Manag
2/2 General Business Current Delivery 9 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; W^tlfelng fQy dgym cycle. Semi Related Products/Approx. Annua
/2 INTERVIEW GUIDE Semiconductor MfmuCaiCturing Suppliers DATE 6/27/79 Company/Location Ultek (P-E subsidiary) Contact/Position Product Mgr. - Plasma
2/2 General Business Current Delivery g tltjonths. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Will maintain about constant in future. SeiTii Related Pro
# /2 INTERVIEW <HIIDE Semiconductor ManufactuT&ig Suppliers DATE 6/2 7/79 Company/Location Ri>.n4-T-nm^^k ^ v^^ Miiy=^ ra, Contact/Position
/2 General Business Current Delivery 6 to 8 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Increasing production by 2X|, scheduled completion facili
'1/2 INTERVIEW G0IDE Semiconductor Manidfac^tliring Suppliers DATE 6/16/79 Company/Location Ten^res.q - T.G^ Gatos. Sunnyvale. Watertown and Coro
P2/2 Genercd Business Current/C^eMAP"'^^^ months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; lifot^ng 6 Months for furnaces, Semi Related Prod
1. WAFER FABRICATION SUPPLIER SUMMARY Wafer fabrication suppliers will accept either masks or computer tapes generated by their customers. They supply
* /2 INTERVIEW G^mn Semiconductor Manufacturing Suppliers DATE 6/27/79 Company/Location FlnrnwP,T(=^. wl sconsin Contact/Position Wafer CnntainPrs K.
12/2 General Business Current Delivery g months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Will increase capacity on line in 4 months. Will get to 4-6
NJ /2 INTERVIEW <iUIDE Semiconductor Manufacturing Suppliers DATE ^/\1/1^ Company/Location Nova Assoc. - Boston. MA Contact/Position Joint VRnture
00 • 1/2 2-18 INTERVIEW fiUIpE Semiconductor Manufaeturing Suppliers DATE 6/27/79 Company/Location ASM America, Phoenix. AZ Contact/Position Originall
/2 General QuB^iesaf Current Delivery 3-4 months. Action on backlog problem if Stj}pQcatb'£6)_ will maintain lead times at about same levels. TTi
2/2 General Business Current Delivery 6 _months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Will hold Semi Related Products/Approx. Annual Sales 1978: 1
^1/2 INTERVIEW QWIPE Semiconductor ManufeU::turing Suppliers DATE 6/2 7/79 Company/Location MRC (Corp. Headquarters) Contact/Position Materials and Eq
/2 General Business Current Delivery 6-8 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Order entry slope dependent May get to 4 months general prod
# /2 / INTERVIEW ^UIDE Semiconductor Manufj^itidilg Suppliers DATE 6/29/79 Company/Location Contact/Position Applied Matpri^ls. .q;^nt;i C^ Bira . CA
2/2 General Business Current Delivery 4 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; MHI hnifi ai- j-^iq i^Tro-] , Semi Related Products/Approx. A
(1-1) WAFER FABRICATION SUPPLIERS Overview Vendor Interface Incremental and Fixed Pricing Merchant and Wafer Pricing Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
NJ 1/2 INTERVIEW OUIDE Semiconductor Manufacturing Suppliers DATE 6/29/79 Company/Location .gi n-^n - Mt-. v-i^w, r-a Contact/Position Prpf^i df^nt- -
^2/2 General Business Current Delivery fi months. Action on backlog problem if applicable: Fivp^iTiriing i-r> "^ mn. -h^^i-gpi-h Semi Relaited
'1/2 INTERVIEW GlJjdE Semiconductor Manu£ia£tarii>g Suppliers DATE 6/29/79 Company/Location Contact/Position _yitratech (subsidiary of Xynetic
2/2 General Business Current Delivery 4 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; jif fi^f!y Seini Related Products/Approx. Annual Sales: 1978:
1/2 jNTERwmwQwm Semiconduetor Manufacttrif^ Suppliers July 3, 1979 DATE Company/Location Stiss - Takuda - Ryohosha U.S., Representative, Pasadena, Cal
|2/2 General Business Align - 3-6 montlis Current Delivery^g^^" I ^"m^o^ths. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Target to remain at 3
1/2 DATE Company/Location Machine Technology Inc. - New Yorlc INTERVIEW GUW Semiconductor Manuf^lturiIlig Suppliers July 5, 1979 Contact/Position Pres
2/2 Genercd Business Current Delivery_ months. Action on backlog problem if applicable: C ,„„o' Maintain even with growth by increasing capacity
1/2 m^ERwimQ'amE Semiconductor Manu£actU^lihi|i Suppliers DATE July 5, 1979 Company/Location Pacific Western - Mountain View President - Innovati
m /2 General Business Current Delivery 3 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; ^^^^ ^°^^ steady 3 months Semi Related Products/Approx. Annu
(1-2) WAFER FABRICATION OVERVIEW Vendors prefer to work with designs to their rules. Process "twealcing" only possible for very high volumes
|l/2 INTERVIEW GUIDE Semiconductor Manufacturing Suppliers DATE July 3, 1979 Company/Location Airco - Timeseal Contact/Position V. P. Marketing - Old
to • » /2 General Business Current Delivery ^ months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; Have 5X area required now Need extra area for Special S
m /2 INTERVIEW GUIDE Semiconductor ManufacjEuring Suppliers July 6, 1979 DATE Company/Location Epitaxy inc. - Santa Clara, California Contact/Position
'2/2 General Business Current Delivery N.A. months. Action on backlog problem if applicable:. 4-6 months general Semi Related Products/Approx. An
1/2 INTERVIEW GUIDE Semiconductor Manufacturing Suppliers DATE July 10, 1979 Company/Location Accelerators Inc., Austin, Texas Contact/Position The in
# /2 General Business Current Delivery ^"^^ months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; 6 Semi Related Products/Approx. Annual Sales: 1978:
1/2 iHTERwmwmmt Semicondttcf or ManufilCtiving Suppliers DATE (None) Company/Location Thermco-Sunbeam, Orange, CA Contact/Position Gen. Sales Mgr. - S
2/2 General Business Current Delivery . 'P months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; 4-5 target best ^__ Semi Related Products/Approx. Ann
11/2 INTER VIEW^^PDE Semiconductbr Manufacliiriii^ Suppliers DATE 7/11/79 Company/Location Perkin-Elmer, Stanford, MA Contact/Position Optical group -
General Business Current Delivery 12-14 months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; 12 2/2 Semi Related Products/Approx. Annual Sales: 1978: $65M
(1-3) TECHNOLOGY EVOLUTION Advanced - Proprietary product and process Intermediate - Custom product Low - Wafer fabrication service Source: DATAQDEST,
1/2 JNtBRVIEW GOa>lS Semiconduictor Manufacturing Suppliers DATE 7/11/79 Company/Location Cobilt Div. ^ Computervision r- Santa Clara, CA Contact/P
• • ^ General Business Current Delivery ^ months. Action on backlog problem if applicable; 4 steady state 2/2 Semi Related Products/Approx. Annual Sal
3. MATERIALS SUMMARY The primary materials considered in this section are silicon and polysilicon. Other materials are considered briefly, but no shor
(3-1) MATERIALS Silicon Wafers Polysilicon Other Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
(3-2) SILICON WAFERS Lead times increased in late 1978 from 6 to 20 weeks. Currently, lead times run 14 weeks. Suppliers who made appropriate vendor c
(3-3) SILICON USAGE Silicon usage in 1979 up 40 percent vs. 1978 (first 5-month average) Device sales up only 26 percent Reasons: 26% Increased produc
(3-4) SILICON CAPACITY (Merchant Silicon Marl«et) Monsanto Siltec Wacker Others Estimated 1979 U.S. Production (Million Sq. Inch) 120 50 . 50 70 290 P
U.S. SILICON USE (3-5) Estimated 1979 Use (Million Sq. Inch) % of U.S. Usage Merchant Silicon 290 60% Slice production by Merchant Suppliers (Fairchil
(3-6) POLY Current Price - $69 to $74 per Itilo ROI - 25 percent at $70 per l<ilo - if plant capital cost is $55 per kilo Present plant cost $110 p
(1-4) STEPS TO WAFER PRODUCTION (IDEAL) 1. Obtain design rules and process parameters. 2. Create "Worst Case" rules for selected vendors. 3.
CURRENT PLANT CAPACITY (3-7) Worldwide Plant reactivation Easily Available Capacity 2,500-2,600 500-600 3,000-3,200 Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Ton
EFFECT OF LARGER WAFERS (3-8) Wafer Size 3" 4" Weighted (g/in^; Average ) Poly Usage (g/in^) 3.35 4.20 1978 80% 20% 3.52 % Wafer 1979 70% 30
Minimum Usage Maximum Usage (3-9) (Mill 1979 1,824 2,346 POLY USAGE ion Metric 1980 2,111 2,580 Tons) 1981 2,432 3,121 1982 2,856 3,777 1983 3,365 4,5
(3-10) OTHER SHORTAGES Selective lead frame shortages -Possibly due to stamping die capacity. Possible shortage of gold-tin lids for ceramic packages.
4. MAJOR MERCHANT SUPPLIER SUMMARY Major merchant suppliers are those in the top rank of the semiconductor industry. As a general rule, they have sale
• The number of captive suppliers is increasing dramatically as electronic equipnnent manufacturers find it necessary to "make what they can&apos
(4-1) MAJOR MERCHANT SUPPLIERS Worldwide Supplier Overview High-Technology Product Supplier Shrinlcage Merger-Mania Design Availability Capital Requir
Table 1 ESTIMATED U.S. CONSUMPTION OF SEMICONDUCTORS (Dollars in Millions) Discrete Devices Integrated Circuits 1,784 Total 1977 $ 926 1,784 $2,710 19
Table 2 ESTIMATED QUARTERLY U.S. SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION (Dollars in Millions) 1978 Discrete Devices Integrated Circuits Total Percent Cliange From
(1-5) CONTRACT INTERFACE Prototype: Customer buys the wafer if test device and optical inspection good. Production: Options 1. As in prototype phase 2
SOURCES OF REGIONAL SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION (PERCENT OF 1978 CONSUMPTION) SUPPLIER: U.S. JAPAN EUROPE ROW UNITED STATES 94% 4 2 0 CONSUMER JAPAN 13%
JAPAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION (PERCENT PRODUCED BY NATIVE FIRMS) 1974 1976 1978 TOTAL SEMICONDUCTOR TOTAL IC BIPOLAR DIGITAL MOS LINEAR TOTAL DISCRE
LIMITS TO GROWTH Financial People Facility Construction and Initiation Trained/Untrained Ratio of Employees Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
PEOPLE PROBLEMS Silicon Valley is full High-quality workforce areas are limited Training time is 3-6 months New employees kill yields Turnover is high
ENGINEERING GRADUATES Engineering Percent of Year Graduates Total Graduates 1950 58,000 11.6% 1960 46,000 9.5% 1970 64,000 5.9% 1975 65,000 5.0% Sourc
SUPPLY SUMMARY The merchant market is decreasing in numbers Independent merchant producers are declining Allocated or directed production is increasin
FAB FACILITY COST 1969 $4.0M 1974 $6.0M 1979 $15.CM 19 84 $30.0]yi + Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 19 79
IN-HOUSE SEMICONDUCTOR USE (PERCENTAGE OF COMPANY'S SEMICONDUCTOR VALUE) (FISCAL YEARS) 1976 1977 1978 1979 TI Mo to Intel NSC FCI 4.7% 5.6 11.0
SEMICONDUCTOR VS NON-SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES Company Texas Instrximents Motorola National Semiconductor Fairchild Intel Mostek AMD Semiconductor 36% 31
IN-HOUSE SEMICONDUCTOR USE (DOLLARS IN MILLIONS) (FISCAL YEARS) 1976 1977 1978 1979 TI Mo to Intel NSC FCI $31 26 16 19 30 $37 40 23 28 15 Source: $55
(1-6) INCREMENTAL WAFERS COST LESS THAN "FIXED CAPACITY" WAFERS Incremental costing is used for excess capacity. Firms reluctant to add staf
FOREIGN ACQUISITION OF U.S. SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY Company Fairchild AMD Litronix Dickson Electronic Arrays AMI AMI MOS Technology Frontier Signetics
COMPANIES USING MORE THAN $100 MILLION OF SEMICONDUCTORS PER YEAR 1969 1974 1979 19 81 19 84 IBM IBM WE IBM DEC H-P WE NTT IBM DEC H-P WE NTT Honeywe
U.S. MAJOR MOS MEMORY MANUFACTURERS 4K (1977) AMD EMM Fairchild Intel Intersil Mostek Motorola Synertek TI Zilog Signetics National ITT 16K (1979) TI
ADVANCED MICROPROCESSOR MANUFACTURERS 1977 (8 bit) Intel Motorola Fairchild Mostek TI Zilog Rockwell AMD AMI GI Hughes MOS Technology Signetics Synert
ESTIMATED REGIONAL SELF-SUPPLY OF SEMICONDUCTOR COMPONENTS (197S-1978) 1975 1976 1977 1978 UNITED STATES JAPAN EUROPE REST OF WORLD 154% 85% 55% 4% 14
ESTIMATED WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION (Dollars in Millions) >tal IC Bipolar MOS Linear Discrete Optoelectronics 1973 $4,798 2,046 921 585 5
BIPOLAR MGITAL SUPPLIERS Product TTL TTL PROM RAM ECL 2901 Gate Array PROM RAM ECL Microprocessors Gate Array Year 1968 1973 1979 1979 1979 1979 1979
ESTIMATED WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION (Dollars in Millions) Total IC Bipolar MOS Linear Discrete Optoelectronics U.S. Companies Market Share 1
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« a eiACo -^(^uref A--)^ cuAcs^eoA^ CDS ^ ESTIMATED WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION (Dollars in Millions) Total IC Bipolar MOS Linear Discrete Opt
TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Title Page Table of Contents INTRODUCTION S;aimnary Conclusions WAFER FABRICATION SUPPLIER SUMMARY Summary Appendix 1 CAPITA
(1-7) INCREMENTAL WAFER SUPPLY IS UNDEFENDABLE: THE LOWEST PRICED WAFERS ARE ALWAYS SHIPPED LAST. Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
4iwCll f^i\uu\i2^ AVN€, 0/-^^rvTsJ^S"^ ESTIMATED WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION (Dollars in Millions) 1973 1978 1983 Total IC Bipolar MOS L
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AMI Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Millions of Dollars) 1973 1978 1983 MOS $56 $71 $143 Comments; o Commitment to custom & wafer fab o In custo
SYNERTEK Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Millions of Dollars) 1973 1978 1983 , MOS 0 $33 $151 Comments; o Some custom and wafer fabrication work o P
ESTIMATED WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSDMPTION (Millions of Dollars) Compound 1973 1978 1983 Growth Total $4,798 $8,677 $17,553 15.1% Japanese Companie
FUJITSU ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES (Millions of Dollars) 1978 1983 Bipolar Mos Linear Discrete Total $124 $335 Comments; o Technologically Stron
(1-8) FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF INCREMENTAL AND FIXED CAPAICTY WAFERS. Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
HITACHI Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Millions of Dollars) 1973 1978 1983 Digital Bipolar MOS Linear Discrete Optoelectronic Total $ 15 35 18 126
MATSUSHITA ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES (Millions of Dollars) 1973 1978 1983 Digital Bipolar MOS Linear Discrete Optoelectro Total Comments: o Bro
MITSUBISHI ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES (Millions of Dollars) 1973 1978 1983 Digital Bipolar MOS Linear Discrete Total $ 84 $147 $231 Comments; o
NIPPON ELECTRIC ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES (Millions of Dollars) 1973 $ 25 37 31 102 3 1978 $ 39 189 105 222 10 1983 $ 78 605 275 365 38 Digital
OKI ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES (Millions of Dollars) 1973 .1978 1983 MOS 0 $20 $50 Conunents: o Currently a Major Supplier of Watch Modules in t
SANYO ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES (Millions of Dollars) 1978 1983 Digital Bipolar MOS Linear Discrete Optoelectronics Total $99 $153 Comments: So
$ 7 15 19 6 $ 8 88 93 2 $ 20 242 235 3 TOSHIBA ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES (Millions of Dollars) 1973 1978 1983 Digital Bipolar MOS Linear Discre
12 MONTHS BOOKINGS GROWTH Europe 44% Japan 107% ROW 75% Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
EUROPEAN COMPANIES' WOBLDWIDE MARKET SHARES - 1978 Discrete 21.6% Linear 12,5% Bipolar 11.8% MOS 2.2% MOS Mtemory Nil MOS Microprocessor Nil Bipo
-f-r:'' THE PROBLEMS WITH JAPAN, INC. BASICALLY CAPTIVE - resources allocated to needs of parent design limited - end product heeds are cons
(1-9) ASSUMPTIONS "Fixed" Costs per month $122,464 Variable costs per wafer $30.23 Wafer out capacity per month 20,000 Actual wafers out per
MOS RAM MARKET 1975 50 Billion Bits 1976 148 Billion Bits 1977 316 Billion Bits 1978 774 Billion Bits 1982 8,370 Billion Bits Source: DATAQUEST, Inc,
ENGINES OF DEMAND 1979-1984 ECONOMIC ELASTICITY - Component Substitution (Memory) - System Substitution (Calculators) - Pervasiveness (Typewriters) IN
iOOcti ^0(t-10-O.lct AVERAGE PRICE PER FUNCTION (IC'S) Years 64 JELLYBEANS
COST OF DESIOI 1964 $8K 1968 $40K 1974 $250K 19 79 $2-4M Memory 1979 $30M Microprocessor 1984 ? 1984 ?
MINIMUM CIRCUIT PRODUCTION Year 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Components Per Chip 1, 3, 60 2,300 64,000 ,000,000 ,200,000 Design Cost @ $33/ Transistor (Th
TOTAL NUl^BER OF SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURERS - WORLDWIDE Merchant Captive 1955 1960 1965 1970 J3-7«^/97S* 19.85-inff 8 22 36 87 105 95 3 8 14 23 36 56
NOT VULNERABLE TO A TAKEOVER Companies Texas Instrtiraents Motorola Intel Reasons High market valuation Broad based ownership Profitable and sound Sou
VULNERABLE TO A TAKEOVER Company Mostek National Semiconductor Reasons Attractive, Casli Poor Attractive, Cash Poor AMD AMI Intersil Siliconix Major B
MARKET VALUE-MAJOR U.S. SEMICONDUCTOR FIRMS (DOLLARS IN MILLIONS) Market Value July, 1979 TI $1920 Motorola 1287 Intel r^stv^^^Q NSC 318 AMD 165 AMI 1
MAJOR OWNERSHIP BLOCKS U.S. SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURERS TI Motorola National Fairchild Intel Signetics AMD Mostek AMI Semiconductor Revenuesr 1978 $92
(1-10) WAFER PRICING "Fixed Capacity Wafers: $122,464/10,000 + $30.23 = $42.50 Selling price at 60% gross margin = $106.25 Incremental Wafers: Se
U.S. SEMICONDUCTOR COMPANIES ACQUIRED BY NON-SEMICONDUCTOR PARENTS Company Parent Spectronics Honeywell Synertek Honeywell CTC Varian SEMI EMM Radiati
PRODUCT COMMITMENTS U.S. SEMICONDUCTOR MJ\NUFACTURERS AMI - 2-Year Contract To Supply $10M To Northern Telecom Signetics - Supplies Estimated $5CM Per
IMPACT OF MERGER ON STOCK PRICE Fairchild 1979 Low $28.00 Final Price: $66.00 Ratio 2.3 to 1 Sources DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
IMPACT OF MERGER ON SUPPLIER CAPACITY Slower to react to market Key personnel drift to other type start-ups Corporate appropriations come slowly Resou
EXPisj^DING THE VALUE ADDED Source: DATAQUEST, Inc.
FINANCIALLY SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATES^ Profit Befo Interest and 5 10 20 Tax .0% .0% .0% re 20% 60% 100% Equity Equity Equity 11.3% 7.0% 6.3% 28.3% 17.5
CAPITAL COSTS Cash or Capital Expenditure for each additional dollar of revenue Fab Assembly Test Other Subtotal Working Capital \ SSI 6.8<: 3.6 4.
ESTIMATED EXTRA CAPITAL REQUIRED TO FINANCE GROWTH 1978-1985 (Dollars in Millions) Intel AMD Mostek NSC Motorola TI FCI 1978 $ 401 148 134 494 2,220 2
REASONS TO DIVERT CAPACITY TO ONE BUYER Sustainable Corporate Growth Exceeds Perceived Market Growth. "Extra" capacity may be diverted Long
DEMAND SUMMARY Long-term market growth rate has increased Major semiconductor users are rapidly increasing in numbers Source; DATAQUEST, Inc, July 197
(1-11) TYPICAL WAFER PRICES 12,000 CMOS wafers per month (3") $ 80 - $10 per layer. 100 up N-channel (4") $300 - $21 per (3") layer, 10
AMD Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Dollars in Millions) Comments: 1973 1978 19 84 Total MOS Bipolar Linear $21 3 18 0 $132 71 37 24 $570 380 115 7
FAIRCHILD Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Dollars in Millions) 1973 1978 19 84 Total MOS Bipolar Linear Discrete Opto Comments: $283 12 134 40 87 10
INTEL Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Dollars in Millions) 1973 1978 1984 Total MOS Bipolar $58 41 17 $300 2 83 17 $1,360 1,290 70 Comments: MOS - E
MOSTEK Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Dollars in Millions) 1973 1978 1984 MOS $39 $125 $620 Commentsi - Not broadbased - Strength in memory Source:
MOTOROLA Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Dollars in Millions) 1973 1978 19 84 Total MOS Bipolar Linear Discrete Opto Comments: $445 17 75 47 303 3
NATIONAL SEMICONDUCTOR Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Dollars in Millions) 19 73 19 78 19 84 Total MOS Bipolar Linear Discrete Opto Comments: $153
SIGNETICS Estimated Semiconductor Revenues (Dollars in Millions) 1973 1978 1984 Total MOS Bipolar Linear Comments: $98 7 73 18 $205 32 125 48 $540 75
TEXAS INSTRUMENTS •Estimated Market Share (Dollars in Millions) 1973 1978 19 84 Total MOS Bipolar Linear Discrete Opto $604 65 255 43 213 28 $923 238
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DATAQUEST, iT^C FINANCIAL ANA COHPANIt INTET CORPORATION DATA SOanCF.i ANNUAL REPORTS PROJECTED FUNDS FLOW RBF ITEM AUWTC SIS 26 JUL! 1979 DF-. ARTHUR
(1-12) MERCHANT MARKET NET REVENUE PER WAFER To figure part price: Wafer Cost jf Assembly and Test Cost = Total Cost ± 60 - 100% Gross Markup = Sellin
REF ASSUMPA IT, m-1 CASH c LIQUID ssj^mu^mfs 3 RECEIVABLES H iNVEnTonr 5 OTHER CURRENT tSSSfS 6 PREPAID INCOME flit 9 GROSS P P E 12 MISC ASSETS 16 ff
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FUNDS DATAQUBST. INC. COMPANY: ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES, INC. DATA SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS a XOK'S PROJECTED FUNDS FLOW REF ITEM 1980 FINANCIAL ANAL
RBF ASSW m OPTION 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 11 11 6 6 6 11 11 6 6 11 11 11 11 1 6 6 6 9 11 6 11 6 1 11 11 11 PCT SALES,HIST PCT SALES.HIST PCT SALES,HIST PCT SALE
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FUNDS DATAQUESf, INC. COMPANY: MOSTBK CORPORATION DATA SOURCE; ANNUAL REPORTS A lOK'S PROJECTED FUNDS FLOW REP ITEM 1979 ! = =»S5,»»: FINANCIAL A
REF ASSUMP --#• OPTION VALUES 1 CASH € LIQUID SECURITIES 6 3 RECEIVABLES 6 H IHVENTOHy 6 5 OTWffJ? CURREST ASSETS 6 9 CffOSS P P £ 6 12 MISC ASSETS 6
a; ts a. % «j % EO o: IOm*U)OMd-t~CMOOOO»0*THlOOOT-IOOd-0>rHOOOOOrtOr~ c--omcMOnco^^.^c^oaot-to^cs.-teor^rHaD<ooooocMC^^ r>^CMcnonnaiea(n.Hon
JVHI^^ DATAQUEST, INC. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 26 JULY 197 9 COMPANY: NATIONAL SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION DATA SOURCE-. ANNUAL REPORTS a 10-K'S PROJECT
OPR: ORANGE COUNT!! COMPUTER ACCESS PHONES ARE CHANGED ) LOAD 1 OC 003') 16.39.^1^.07/27/79 DATAQUEST 9^1^ ( S^R P C S^Wl P L . S V . )LOAD 125 B
(1-13) PROPRIETARY PRODUCT REVENUE PER WAFER (Net of Assembly Costs) 16K Dynamic RAM ($5.75 ASP) (4") $143 - $10 per (3") Layer 4K Fast Stat
DATAQUEST COMPASS: DATA SOURCE: 'Mmc. f^mROi ROLA ANSUAL REPORTS AND IQK'S FIHANCIAL A H^mL i S I S 19 JULX 1979 ^ITORi PEAT MARWICK MITCHE
DATAQUESTM FINANCIAL A N lY S I S 19 JULX 1979 COMPANY: MOTOROLA DATA SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AND IQK'S PROJECTED FUNDS FLOW REF ITEM 1979 1980
ASSUMf REF i ^Wii OPTION 6 6 1 6 6 6 11 6 6 6 11 6 6 11 4 11 i« 6 6 1 9 11 6 6 1 11 11 11 PCT SALES,aiST PCT SALES,alST INPUT REQD PCT SALES,HIST PCT
COMPANY: DATA SOU m S INSTRUMENTS, INC. ANNUAL REPORTS PROJECTED SPREAD Fiai^B ITORi ARTHUR YOUNG a CO. INt MILLIONS BY) KKPOLEY REF ITEM 1976 1979 1
DATAQUEST, INC. COMPANY I T DATA SOURC INSTRUMENTS. INC. NNUAL REPORTS PROJECTED FUNDS FLOW REF ITEM 1979 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 19 JULY 1979 1980 1981 F
Hff ' ITEM OPTION VALUES 1 3 i« S 9 12 16 17 18 19 20 21 2<t 2& 29 30 31 38 UO H2 1*3 HH H6 47 ts 51 58 59 69 CASH^^QUID SECURITIES RECEJ^
05 <5> ft. % ootDoDt*-t-ioc>i«ooooofOoc*»oo,-ioc4.*o«oocnmaoo04iococ>i CMC4a)u>CMOinT-iovnoo<oooCM<No<-ic>-(Ocooo>o>&
FUNDS DATAQUESTr7NC. ^WNC FINANCIAL A N^TL Y S I S 19 JULY 1979 COMPANY: FAIRCHILD CAMERA AND INSTRUMENT CORP. DATA SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS a IQK'
REF 1 3 H S 6 9 12 13 16 17 '18 19 20 21 24 25 26 29 30 31 38 40 42 43 44 46 47 49 51 55 58 59 69 ASSUMP ITMj^ CASH e mfuiD SECURITIES RECEIVABLE
WAFER FAB SUPPLIER OVERVIEW (1-14) Compad:f AMI ADV. LSI Burroughs Commodore Electronic EM&M Semi EPI, Inc. Hughes Maruman Micropower Mitel Monosi
5. CRUCIAL STRATEGIC QUESTION SUMMARY This section summarizes the previous four sections and recommends a new procurement strategy. Wafer fabrication
(5-1) 5. CRUCIAL STRATEGIC QUESTIONS Wafer Fabrication Summary Capital Equipment Summary Materials Summary Merchant Supplier Stimmary What To Do Sourc
(5-2) A MULTI-LEVEL APPROACH TO .COMPONENT ACQUISITION IS REQUIRED: Make-It-Yourself Your Tooling on Purchased Wafers Intimate Relationship with Major
(5-3) WAFER FABRICATION SUMMARY ISfot Cutting Edge Technology Best Price is not Best Security Multi-Sources Possible Mostly MOS High Trust Relationshi
(5-4) WAFER FABRICATION CONCLUSIONS It Has A Place: Low Technology Custom Keep Your Vendor Viable: Adequate Prices Capital Infusions Independent Fotin
(5-5) CAPITAL EQUIPMENT SUMMARY Emerging Large Sophisticated Suppliers Lead Times Increasing Supplier and Technology Selction Important Equipment Proc
(5-6) CAPITAL EQUIPMENT CONCLUSION Need Two Year Technology Horizon Vendor/Technology Selection Important For DEC Technology Insights May Be Gained Th
(5-7) MATERIALS SUMMARY Polished Silicon Wafer Availability Good Possible Poly Shortage 19 81-19 83 Limi1:ed Shortages Of Lead Frames Source: DATAQUES
(5-8) MAJOR MERCHANT VENDOR SUMMARY Chronic Long Term Supply-Demand Imbalance Minimum Production Volume Per lDesign Increasing Universal Aversion To C
(5-9) MAJOR MERCHANT VENDOR CONCLUSIONS Select Vendor, Technology Carefully Put The Vendor On Your Team Worry About The Vendor's Profitability Br
(1-15) C us tome r Fab. Capability Company Rating Samsung Semi Process Inc. + Standard Micro.Sys. + Supertex +++ Synertel? ++ Teledyne + United Semi +
(5-10) WHAT TO DO Forecast Stratify Charter Captive Organize Acquisition Analyze Vendors Establish Vendor Partnership Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 197
(5-11) FORECAST Five Year Product Forecast Includes those yet to be developed By Model By Year Highest, Lowest, Expected Production Competitive Enviro
(5-12} STRATIFY I. Analyze Component Usage By Product A. Establish Component Hierarchy 1. Critical Technology-High Volume Standard Parts Customer Tool
(5-13) CHARTER CAPTIVE Make What You Can't Buy Critical Technology Custom El-Unique-0 Technology Maximum Two Technologies Per Facility Critical T
(5-14) ORGANIZE ACQUISITION Put The Vendor On Your Team Establish Engineer-Engineer Conimvinication With Class 1, 2, and 3 Vendors Charter For Service
^o-xo; •• ANALYZE VENDORS Technological Strengths Competitors Ownership Investments In New Technology Planned Expansion Other Long-Term Commitments Wo
(5-16) # ESTABLISH VENDOR PARTNERSHIP Top Level Communication Discussion Of Mutual Goals - "Open Kimono" Long Term Contracts Convince Vendor
(5-17) # HAPPENINGS Intel's Top 20 - No Shortage Of 16K Dynamics Apple Computer Feeding At The Same Trough As IBM Datapoint - Major Supplier: An
(5-18) BARGAINING CHIPS CAD Software General Software - Applications Of Microprocessors Overflow Wafer Processing Computers For Parts Rights To Propri
(5-19) THE OPEN KIMONO USER TELLS: 1) 5-Year Product Plans Plus/Minus Expected 2) Structure Of The Market 3) Reasons For Wanting Teclinology 4) Usage
(1-16) AVAILABLE FOR ACQUISITION AMI - (Bosch, Borg Warner Interest) Public ADV. LSI - Siemens Captive Maruman - Several interested parties closely he
(5-20) BUY A COMPANY The Ultimate Open Kinvono Desired Acquisitions Will Come From Preceeding Analyses A Part Of The Solution—Not The Solution Source:
(5-21) HOW TO GET THE VENDOR'S ATTENTION M ake A Plan Organize Normalize Usage Extrapolate Yall Source: DATAQtfEST, Inc. July 19:79
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; AMI Prime Mission; Custom MOS-LSI and standard products. Customer Base; 20% Standard product, 60% custom LSI, 20% custome
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Processes; 2 8 process variants available. In addition to standard N & P Channel MOS & CMOS, plan HMOS, VMOS a
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Advanced LSI Technology (Subsidiary of Litronix and Siemens). Prime Mission: Wafer fabrication to customer mfasks. Custom
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Processes: N-channel silicon gate, P-channel nfietal gate, P-channel silicon gate, CMOS metal gate. Process Compatibil
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Burroughs Corporation Prime Mission; Captive Customer Base; Burroughs Corporate Estimated Wafer Starts; 4,000 Bipolar, 4,
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Commodore Prime Mission; To support Commodore Corporation. Some worIc has been done for outside customers; 2,000 to 4,000
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility With Other Firms: CMOS process known to be reasonably compatible, 1-7
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Electronic Arrays. Prime Mission; Standard Products. t: Customer Base; 100% Standard Products. Estimated Wafer Starts; Es
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; EM&M Semi - Phoenix, Arizona. Prime Mission; Standard product. Some customer tooled product. Do not like to run wafer
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Epitaxy Inc. Prime Mission; Supplier of epitaxial wafers; custom wafer processing to supplement major merchant firms, i C
INTRODUCTION The purpose of this study is to highlight the crucial Strategic questions which DEC must consider in developing a procurement strategy fo
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Other Firms: As required by customer. Employees; Over 800. Equipment; Only two aligners ava
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Hughes - Newport Beach. Prime Mission; jyierchant supplier, captive producer. Interested in custom wafer processing only
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Marumann. Prime Mission: Standard parts. Some custom design and customer tooling. Customer Base; 60% parts, 10% custom de
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Employees; 210 currently. Equipment: 6 cobilt aligners. 1-14
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Micropower. Prime Mission; Standard product, custom design, some customer tooling but very selective on this. Customer Ba
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Other Firms: Low. Employees; Not available. Equipment: Not available. 1-16
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Mitel Semiconductor. Prime Mission: Merchant, captive, customer tooling. Customer Base; 30% parts, 40% custom design, 30%
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Process Compatibility witti Other Firms; Low. Employees; Over 100. 1-18
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company: Monosil. Prime Mission; Wafer fabrication, specializing in custom processing. Customer Base; 90% customer maslcs, 10% pro
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Other Firms; As required. Employees; 100 approximately. Equipment; 8 diffusion tubes; Lp CV
AS the semiconductor industry becomes more oligopolistic and less competitive, it is necessary to revise procurement Strategies. Total corporate requi
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; National Semiconductor Prime Mission; Standard product. However, a separate marketing group exists for custom LSI. This g
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility With Other Firms; Should be good with AMI, Synertek, Mariiman 1-22
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Nitron Prime Mission; Alternate interest is in standard products. Wafer fabrication business is undertaken for cash flow
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Processes; N-channel isoplanar metal gate. P-channel metal gate. CMOS metal gate. MNOS. Process Compatibility With Oth
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Polycore Prime Mission; Wafer fabrication. Cus tome r B as e; 100% custoiyer tooled wafers, Over half of these are linear
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility With Other Firms; Linear IC process should be compatible with Exar, Monosil. Employees; Approxim
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Samsung. Prime Mission; Support to Samsung—A $1.3 billion Korean conglomerate, Most of the parts made are used in Samsung
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility witli Other Firms; Believe CMOS process reasonably compatible, Employees; Estimate 1,000. 1-28
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Semi Processes Inc. Prime Mission; Wafer fabrication. Customer Base; 100% customer tooled. Estimate 25-50% from semi indu
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Other Firms; Should be reasonably good. Employees: 20 people. Equipment: Currently 9 tubes,
PROPOSAL SEMICONDUCTOR SUPPLY STUDY for DIGITAL EQUIPMENT CORPORATION Objective; Digital Equipment Corporation (DEC) expects significant increases in
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company: Standard Micro Systems. Prime Mission; Supplier of merchant parts. Want to keep customer tooling business below 10% of wa
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Other Firms: Believe to be reasonably compatible. Employees; 275 employees. Equipment: 30 t
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Supertax. Prime Mission; WorJcing toward increased volume in proprietary products. Still predominantly customer tooled wa
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility witli Other Firms; Should be good. Cross license with AMI, Employees; Estimate over 100. Equipme
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company; Synertek. Prime Mission; Standard products. View customer tooled business as a growth opportunity. Customer Base: 65% Sta
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Other Firms; Good compatibility with AMI, Marunan. 1-36
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company: Teledyne Semiconductor. Prime Mission; Standard product, customer tooling. Company would be good to do business with. Cus
VJAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Other Firms; Low, except for Motorola CMOS. Employees; Estimate 100-200. Equipment; 3-4 al
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS Company: United Semiconductor. Prime Mission; Wafer fabrication. Customer Base: 100% customer tooled. Estimated Wafer Starts; 4,00
WAFER FAB SUPPLIERS (Continued) Process Compatibility with Otlier Firms; Should be good. Employees; 67 (wafers are manufactured by Analog Devices). Eq
ATTACHMENT I Work Statement Wafer Fabrication Suppliers. Conduct interviews with 10-15 wafer fabrication suppliers offering technologies of interest t
CAPITAL EQUIPMENT SUPPLIERS
2. CAPITAL EQUIPMENT SUPPLIER SUMMARY Capital equipment suppliers provide the equipment that is used to manufacture semiconductor components. This sec
(2-1) CAPITAL EQUIPMENT SUPPLIERS Aggregate Supply/Demand Impact of Captive Supplier Purchases Industry Problems Leading Companies Technology Trends S
(2-2) 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 ESTIMATED CAPITAL EXPENDITURES BY MERCHANT SEMICONDUCTOR COMPANIES ($ in Millions) Semiconduct
(2-3) CAPTIVE SEMICONDUCTOR MANURACTURERS VS. TIME 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1979 14 22 31 51 Source: DATAQUEST, Inc. July 1979
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES OF SELECTED COMPUTER EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS (Dollars in Millions) (2-4) Capital Company/Fiscal Year Burroughs (1976) Control Dat
(2-5) ESTIMATED IMPACT OF LSI ON MANUFACTURING COSTS OF ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT Relative Equiianent Manufacturing Costs COMPLEXITY OF LSI DEVICE 40 Tran-
(2-6) CONCLUSIONS • Electronic euipment makers need custom wafer processing. • The semiconductor industry is not supplying the need. • AND the electro
(2-7) CAPTIVE SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURERS WILL USE MORE CAPITAL EQUIPMENT PER WAFER START Capital Investunent (Property, Plant & Equipment) Wafer
(2-8) ESTIMATED CAPTIVE MANUFACTURING CAPACITY (From 1978 Silicon Usage) Silicon Usage (Million Sq. Inches) Percent Silicon Usage Equivalent Productio
Attadament I Work Statement, continued. Crucial Strategic Questions. DATAQUEST team members will engage in several discussion sessions to develop alte
ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR CAPITAL EXPENDITURES BY MERCHANT AND CAPTIVE SUPPLIERS ($ in Millions) (2-9) Mercliant Suppliers Captive Suppliers Percent of
(2-10) ESTIMATED SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT Total Capital Expenditures Less Facilities Costs Net Equipment Demand Planned Industry Supply Annual Sales of
(2-11) INDUSTRY PROBLEMS (As Stated in Survey) Technology Selection 26% Wafer Handling Technology 6% Personnel Recruiting 74% (Mostly engineers) Finan
(2-12) Purchase Price Less than $50,000 $50,000-$100,000 $100,000-$300,000 $300,000 Up EQUIPMENT LEAD TIMES Current Lead Time 2-4 Months 3-8 Months 7-
(2-13) LEADING COMPANIES ($ in Millions) Equipment companies are moving towards providing a total capability in wafer fabrication. First Rani? Cutler-
'l-t-I ^AT;ONII ^ rta. w r;g ,ft. C.^J^-v W V.,V.^:i--' 1J_ -..^ .\tl3-v«l2o ^fft'^Pgyg * U^jv, CciwTAter/ P^airtiAitT^. \S U< *:!^£
CATO*^ ^f^^^s. ' C*-^v<-»-*«'"^f^^) WA,^PF\^ -CciWTAt-T / PPCKI lA< If >/, VAJ /srgA* TV'*'^Cve £ Oiuj -<^u/=«,&l
(2-14) CUTLER-HT^MMER - SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT DIVISION ($ in Millions) Rasper 1979 Sales (Estimated) $19.2 D&W Controlled Wafer Environment -2 D
(2-15) PERKIN-ELMER ($ in Millions) 1979 Sales (Estimated) Micro Align $ 90,0 "i •h Scanning Projection Aligners Upgrade 1979 Deep U.V. Mid-1981
(2-16) VARIAN ASSOCIATES ($ in Millions) 1979 Sales (Estimated) Varian, Palo Alto $ 75M E-beam Maskmalting ^ 7 L'f Direct write (1982)^ o^^ Sputt
MODIFICATION OF WORK STATEMENT DIGITAL EQUIPMENT CORPORATION Comments on Work Statement General: DEC would like some consideration of inter-national e
(2-17) APPLIED MATERIALS ($ in Millions) Sales (Estimated) High Pressure Oxidation (Gasonics) Plasma Etch, Using Plasma Deposition Equipment Epitaxial
(2-18) COMPUTERVISION/COBILT ($ in Millions) 1979 Sales (Estimated) Projection Aligners Only Second Source to Perlcin/Elmer Shipping 11 per Quarter vs
(2-19) TEMPRESS, GENERAL SIGNAL ($ in Millions) 1979 Sales (Estimated) k Oxidation/Diffusion Poor Second to Termco Cliemical Vapor Deposition Third or
CsntA/^Ji^'^j^ S^vQKi!oli .^^'-. M. Xavi^yifl/vga •lA/vctft<,t^ C-cr-poVeJtt ri_3'^_UD^-f^ :l)C*\VA-Vvt-g _ i; V •V - V-^ ;y^fttkv^
(2-20) THERMCO-SUNBEAM ($ in Millions) 1979 Sales (Estimated) Oxidation/Diffusion Leaders in Direct Digital Control High Pressure Oxidation (August) C
(2-21) GCA ($ in Millions) 1979 Sales (Estimated) Sunnyvale Division $18 Wafer Tracks Using Air Movement Tie on to DSW (1980) "Wafer Local"
"^-^ . a.U . ...•i-^ I'. •fi/"'''-^' ,- " . (2-22) TECHNICAL TRENDS Dry Etch Barrel Etch - Nitride, Resist St
(2-23) TECHNICAL TRENDS (Continued) Alignment Equipment Above 2 microns Scanning projection systems well established. Strong move to reconsider proxim
(2-24) TECHNICAL TRENDS (Continued) Ion Implant New high current product for direct junction implant New anneal techniques - E=beam, Laser Will eventu
(2-25) IMPORTANT EQUIPMENT GROWTH MARKETS High Current Ion Implant and Anneal Below 2 Micron Aligners Estimate 400 units per year in early 1980s Total
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